A paper by Nicholas Mehfoud, MS Candidate, Biohazardous Threat Agents and Emerging Infectious Diseases, Georgetown University, USA

The purpose of this research was to ascertain the best Category A agent for a terrorist attack. The way this was determined was by establishing 11 different criteria and giving each of the Category A agents a standardized value for that criterion. The agents that were analyzed were the following: Botulinum Toxin, Ebola, Marburg, Lassa, Plague, Anthrax, Smallpox, and Tularemia. The criteria used to evaluate the best agent were Mortality, R0, Aerosolizability, Stability in Environment, Possibility of a Treatment or Cure, Effective Vaccine or Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis, Availability of the Agent, Vector Dependence, Notoriety of the Agent, Incubation Period, and if there had been Previous Attacks. Once values for these criteria were established, they were evaluated based on a decision formula that took into account the importance of each criterion and the value for that particular agent. These values were ranked, and the highest value was the best suited for terrorist use.

Please access the Full Paper by clicking on the following link: Mehfoud – NCT CBRNe USA 2015

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